I find these kinds of posts intentionally incendiary. The tone is informative and conversational. but the subject matter revolves around the fact that somehow Adobe are in trouble because of Sketch, and that if Comet turns out to be another Muse that Adobe are in trouble.
I use Sketch on a daily basis, but short of the design community on DN and other places (and I've interviewed several people for jobs who have never heard of Sketch), the number of people who have never heard of Bohemian Coding is astronomical. My entire design team here use Adobe CC every day, using 3 or 4 of their apps constantly. Needless to say we pay for this, and needless to say we're not the only company who do.
I don't expect that Adobe are in trouble, and whilst I'm sure they're losing market share to the teams of people who use Flinto and Sketch or whatever combo they prefer, these blog posts are jumping on some sort of unfounded bandwagon; free of facts or figures based entirely on heresay. Comet looks exciting obviously, but I sincerely doubt that "the future of Creative Cloud" rests on it.
You have a point that Adobe and Creative Cloud have many products and their success is likely not solely hinged on Comet. However, we cannot deny the movement towards Sketch and the third party prototyping tools. I think when Adobe starts designing for designers/by designers, their products start making a lot more sense, the minute you step away from that, it opens up an opportunity for a product like Sketch to fill and that is undeniable.
I still think Adobe has a long way to go before they meet the same simplicity and efficiency that Sketch and the other tools have filled in their absence. So far though, Comet looks promising...
I think that Adobe is on the same page as you. They still need to appeal to the old timers in the industry, especially those in print. But it's clear that these new tools (sketch) have moved Adobe. Check out Photoshop's (somewhat hidden) "design space" it's pretty obviously influenced by the simplicity of tools like Sketch.
A designer working in digital perhaps, maybe even motion design, but Adobe's apps are still very much relevant for print work.
How is it that, in every single article or discussion about Adobe and it's CC Family, no one points out the whole cross platform aspect. Definitely a major point and one that will prevent Sketch, Flinto, Principle/etc from ever being the defacto way to design experiences in any moderate size organization.
sounds like Comet's mac-only anyway
Can some designers live adobe free? Sure! Particularly if they have end-to-end control of their work.
Will many designers still need to use Creative Cloud as part of their workflow? Yes! Particularly if they have to work with agencies or businesses with established workflows.
Is increased competition in the design tools space good? Yes!
I wish people would take a second to step outside of their normal zone and look at the whole landscape of design and graphics. There's a big world out there that includes a lot more than software or web design.
I'm personally Adobe-free and have been for about 9 months, but I'm a UX designer and most of my work is done on paper, whiteboard, or wireframe. Currently all UI and marketing people at my work still use CC. So does everyone at my last job. So do all my other designer friends. And while Affinity is coming along nicely, their apps are not going to overturn Adobe's dominance in print design and photo work anytime soon. And what about After Effects? Premiere? Even InDesign lacks new upstart competition.
Adobe has made some mistakes, and finally the small shop or freelancer with a tiny budget has options outside of their sphere, but they're not going anywhere in the near future.
Yes, absolutely. Been doing that for 2 years now.